Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 52.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 3 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2026 to 30 Jan 2026, the highest close was 55% on 22 Jan 2026 and the lowest 46.5% on 6 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 55% on 22 Jan 2026. $16.95K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 31, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 3 Jan 2026 – 30 Jan 2026, chart shows 40%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | 48.5% |
| 30 Jan 2026 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Best-Flesh | Yes | 829.29 |
| WolfeyNL | Yes | 222.82 |
| Cannae | Yes | 216.87 |
| Punctual-Ironclad | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 30, 2026 If Melbourne City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.a-league.com.au/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/aus-wel-mct-2026-01-30
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