Analytics
Yes is at 37.5%, down 4.5 points from 42% when the market opened on 11 Oct 2026.
Across the 13 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 42.5% on 12 Oct 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 41%.
Melbourne Victory FC is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “Melbourne Victory FC vs. Melbourne City FC”, ahead of Melbourne City FC at 35.5%.
$541.43 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.28K since listing. The order book holds $22.9K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is VeryLucky888 with 1.5K shares; the largest No position is rayvanmechelen with 1.6K. Ten wallets hold 88.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 4:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 35%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 42.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 37.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rayvanmechelen | No | 1.62K |
| VeryLucky888 | Yes | 1.5K |
| Flaznorp | Yes | 371.77 |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 24, 2026 If Melbourne Victory FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/aus-vic-mct-2026-10-24
| SnakeBall |
| Yes |
| 210.8 |
| Cannae | Yes | 39.05 |
| ferdinand2 | Yes | 36 |
| Cosmic Harbor 626D | No | 19.91 |
| Keen Horizon 6798 | No | 16.76 |
| Cobalt Falcon 7D99 | No | 15.63 |
| Amber Maven 3DCF | No | 15.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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