Analytics
Yes is at 31%, up 5 points from 26% when the market opened on 12 Oct 2026.
The high was 31% on 20 Oct 2026 and the low 26% on 12 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 26.5%.
Adelaide United FC ranks second of the 3 outcomes in “Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC”. Sydney FC leads at 42%; Draw (Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC) is at 26%.
$3.29K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $7.02K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is omnibus-076daa with 3.1K shares; the largest No position is VeryLucky888 with 2K.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 21, 3:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 12 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | 26.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 31.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| omnibus-076daa | Yes | 3.1K |
| VeryLucky888 | No | 2.02K |
| Flaznorp | No | 872 |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 25, 2026 If Adelaide United FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/aus-syd-ade-2026-10-25
| 38791873984189 |
| No |
| 137.07 |
| iWasEnough | Yes | 89.94 |
| bananananatooo | No | 89 |
| rayvanmechelen | No | 28.57 |
| de4th.to.russian.invaders | No | 25 |
| filsdeup | No | 15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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