Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 72.5%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 14 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2024 to 10 Sep 2024, the highest close was 72.5% on 10 Sep 2024 and the lowest 12% on 28 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 67% on 7 Sep 2024. $213.69K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 11, 3:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 14 Aug 2024 – 10 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2024 | 22.5% |
| 10 Sep 2024 | 72.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 310.33K |
| AliceBob | No | 1.59K |
| Lyapunov | No | 50 |
| kingsirpredictionconnoisseur | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/august-2024-temperature-increase-c
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