Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.2%. Yes opened at 18% on 29 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 29 Jul 2025 to 5 Sep 2025, the highest close was 18% on 29 Jul 2025 and the lowest 4.2% on 1 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 4.5% on 30 Jul 2025. $31.7K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 4:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 29 Jul 2025 – 5 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2025 | 18.0% |
| 5 Sep 2025 | 5.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 12.04K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 2.36K |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 804 |
| dllm- | Yes | 548.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If the U.S. reports a negative change (less than 0) in total nonfarm payroll employment for August 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2025, scheduled to be released on September 5, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/august-jobs-report-prints-negative
| White58 | Yes | 500 |
| jontra | Yes | 420.83 |
| Loqox | Yes | 250.29 |
| qwertzu | Yes | 200 |
| Finalyty | Yes | 127.01 |
| CharlieFoucault | Yes | 78.98 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
