Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54.5%. Yes opened at 44% on 17 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2026 to 30 Jul 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 55% on 20 Jul 2026 and the lowest 42% on 28 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 52% on 18 Jul 2026. $38.02K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 31, 11:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 17 Jul 2026 – 30 Jul 2026, chart shows 35%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 | 44.0% |
| 30 Jul 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.59K |
| Allepolmart | Yes | 1K |
| bobi12345678 | Yes | 865.22 |
| EVryBet2 | Yes | 705.55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Australia Cup game, scheduled for Thursday, July 30, 2026 between South Melbourne FC and Adelaide United FC.
Resolution source: https://www.a-league.com.au/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/auc-sm-ade-2026-07-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Corny-Adviser | Yes | 361.3 |
| Floem | Yes | 227.27 |
| wuliaoyy | Yes | 225.58 |
| XPX0086 | Yes | 200 |
| Btjon25 | Yes | 200 |
| venera1234 | Yes | 166.25 |
