Analytics
Trading is closed with the Michael Zheng side last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2026 to 5 Mar 2026, the highest close was 57.5% on 5 Mar 2026 and the lowest 53.5% on 4 Mar 2026.
The largest Michael Zheng position is ndo2905 with 0 shares; the largest Arthur Cazaux position is Bright Scout 9F53 with 5.
Polymarket record as of Mar 6, 9:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Michael Zheng price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 5 Mar 2026, chart shows 50%–62%
| Observed | Michael Zheng price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 53.5% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | 57.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Scout 9F53 | Arthur Cazaux | 4.98 |
| ndo2905 | Michael Zheng | 0.1 |
| poopdjin | Arthur Cazaux | 0.05 |
| maun9txv7ck1 | Arthur Cazaux | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Michael Zheng and Arthur Cazaux in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 4 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Zheng' if Michael Zheng advances against Arthur Cazaux. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Cazaux' if Arthur Cazaux advances against Michael Zheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-zheng-cazaux-2026-03-04
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