
Resolved Zhang on 17 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Zhang at 52.5%. The Zhang side opened at 56% on 16 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 56% on 16 Feb 2026 and the low 52.5% on 17 Feb 2026. $108.96K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 19, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Zhang price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 16 Feb 2026 – 17 Feb 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Zhang price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | 56.0% |
| 17 Feb 2026 | 52.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Baena | 12.72K |
| Stark22 | Baena | 2.5K |
| c4c4 | Baena | 540 |
| illraise7 | Baena | 467.52 |
| Dare24 | Baena | 331.21 |
| Bagwell306 | Baena | 317.05 |
| Blond-Plight | Baena | 270.71 |
| DT9 | Baena | 213.6 |
| Flof | Baena | 184.49 |
| ZF1 | Baena | 77.7 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Zhizhen Zhang and Roberto Carballes Baena in the Qatar Open, scheduled for February 17 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhang' if Zhizhen Zhang advances against Roberto Carballes Baena. This market will resolve to 'Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Zhizhen Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-zhang-baena-2026-02-17
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