Analytics
Resolved Federico Cina on 2 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Federico Cina at 67.5%. The Elias Ymer side opened at 26.5% on 1 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 2 Oct 2026, the highest close was 32.5% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 32.5% on 2 Oct 2026. $138K traded over the market's life.
70 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 5:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Elias Ymer price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 2 Oct 2026, chart shows 24%–36%
| Observed | Elias Ymer price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 26.5% |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RN1 | Elias Ymer | 5.2K |
| 123123123456456456 | Elias Ymer | 1.73K |
| Super-Styling | Elias Ymer | 583.17 |
| Specific-Pear-Whirlwind | Elias Ymer | 299.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Federico Cina in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Federico Cina. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Elias Ymer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-ymer-cina-2026-10-01
| ProbSniper | Elias Ymer | 296.43 |
| arahbo | Elias Ymer | 235.25 |
| esuad | Elias Ymer | 215.52 |
| TennisChokers | Elias Ymer | 211.74 |
| Aralace | Elias Ymer | 199.99 |
| capitalpiston2 | Elias Ymer | 150.78 |
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