Analytics
Resolved Edward Winter on 4 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Edward Winter at 36.5%. Yes opened at 64% on 3 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2026 to 4 Jul 2026, the highest close was 64% on 3 Jul 2026 and the lowest 63.5% on 4 Jul 2026. $52.2K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 3:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 4 Jul 2026, chart shows 58%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 64.0% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 63.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Shawnyou | William Manning | 828 |
| HomeRunHazard | William Manning | 294 |
| Late-Citizen | William Manning | 242.86 |
| 15perces | William Manning | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Edward Winter and William Manning in the Cary, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edward Winter' if Edward Winter advances against William Manning. This market will resolve to 'William Manning' if William Manning advances against Edward Winter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-winter-manning-2026-07-03
| testoooorr | William Manning | 90.88 |
| dsfdsddd2 | William Manning | 71.42 |
| tenpercenttest | William Manning | 49.99 |
| RadioFreeZerg | William Manning | 48.22 |
| Lilybaeum | William Manning | 46.72 |
| m3t4l | William Manning | 36.97 |
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