Analytics
Resolved Matteo Martineau on 24 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Matteo Martineau at 23.5%. The Stan Wawrinka side opened at 69% on 22 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 22 Mar 2026 to 24 Mar 2026, the highest close was 80.5% on 23 Mar 2026 and the lowest 69% on 22 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 80.5% on 23 Mar 2026.
112 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 25, 4:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Stan Wawrinka price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 22 Mar 2026 – 24 Mar 2026, chart shows 65%–85%
| Observed | Stan Wawrinka price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | 69.0% |
| 24 Mar 2026 | 76.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| maikk252525 | Stan Wawrinka | 6.29K |
| SunFlako | Stan Wawrinka | 620.58 |
| apt-3.9 | Stan Wawrinka | 549.45 |
| Joking22 | Stan Wawrinka | 407.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Stan Wawrinka and Matteo Martineau in the Naples, scheduled for March 23 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stan Wawrinka' if Stan Wawrinka advances against Matteo Martineau. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Martineau' if Matteo Martineau advances against Stan Wawrinka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-wawrink-martin-2026-03-23
| DeltaNeutral-Cap | Stan Wawrinka | 312.97 |
| Rebecca888888888 | Stan Wawrinka | 302.7 |
| Jade Atlas 60C2 | Stan Wawrinka | 294.86 |
| lenka32 | Stan Wawrinka | 218.95 |
| grandculp | Stan Wawrinka | 174 |
| sc1pt0x | Stan Wawrinka | 163.04 |
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