Analytics
Resolved Adolfo Vallejo on 14 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Adolfo Vallejo at 82.5%. The Nicolas Alvarez Varona side opened at 50% on 13 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 13 May 2026 to 14 May 2026, the highest close was 50% on 13 May 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 14 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 17.5% on 14 May 2026. $76.44K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 15, 3:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Nicolas Alvarez Varona price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 13 May 2026 – 14 May 2026
| Observed | Nicolas Alvarez Varona price |
|---|---|
| 13 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 14 May 2026 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jukooa | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 5.24K |
| Ivanet109 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 4.2K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 1.69K |
| BlasdeLezo1492 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Alvarez Varona and Adolfo Vallejo in the Valencia, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Alvarez Varona' if Nicolas Alvarez Varona advances against Adolfo Vallejo. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Nicolas Alvarez Varona. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-varona-vallejo-2026-05-14
| 1.25K |
| mortewfenloin | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 1.1K |
| RN1 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 353.21 |
| ltab233 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 285.64 |
| 3Tauros3 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 200 |
| CajetanCryptoTrading-Hour4 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 199.9 |
| Lilybaeum | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 193.75 |
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