Analytics
Resolved Lucio Ratti on 8 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lucio Ratti at 100%. The Nicolas Alvarez Varona side opened at 48.5% on 6 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 6 Apr 2026 to 8 Apr 2026, the highest close was 60.5% on 7 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 60 points down, to 0.1% on 8 Apr 2026. $81.75K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 9, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Nicolas Alvarez Varona price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 6 Apr 2026 – 8 Apr 2026
| Observed | Nicolas Alvarez Varona price |
|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2026 | 48.5% |
| 8 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Keen Falcon D40C | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 788.84 |
| LongshotLouis | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 439.78 |
| triklozoid | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 50 |
| Rewarding-Alto | Nicolas Alvarez Varona |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Nicolas Alvarez Varona and Lucio Ratti in the Campinas, scheduled for April 6 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Alvarez Varona' if Nicolas Alvarez Varona advances against Lucio Ratti. This market will resolve to 'Lucio Ratti' if Lucio Ratti advances against Nicolas Alvarez Varona. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-varona-ratti-2026-04-06
| 37.56 |
| 0xMIX | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 30 |
| Mahatma-Ghandi | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 27.25 |
| middlemank | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 25.82 |
| Jade Kestrel AD64 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 16.64 |
| Uneven-Shelter | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 10.84 |
| Neon Sphinx AE69 | Lucio Ratti | 9.6 |
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