Analytics
Resolved Juan Pablo Varillas on 8 Jul 2026.
$194.84K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 9, 8:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 1 point · 8 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 64%–76%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2026 | 70.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Guilty-Receipt | Luis Carlos Alvarez | 73.78K |
| Alwayslose182 | Luis Carlos Alvarez | 24.85K |
| neutralwave23 | Luis Carlos Alvarez | 2.85K |
| Faithful-Jazz | Luis Carlos Alvarez | 1.66K |
| Solar Signal CA30 | Luis Carlos Alvarez | 1.16K |
| Vttbvbyb | Luis Carlos Alvarez | 1K |
| xSanctuary | Luis Carlos Alvarez | 976.18 |
| MM93MAIN | Luis Carlos Alvarez | 349.44 |
| Impish-Race | Luis Carlos Alvarez | 336.46 |
| Dawgy94 | Luis Carlos Alvarez | 245.32 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Pablo Varillas and Luis Carlos Alvarez in the Bogota, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Luis Carlos Alvarez. This market will resolve to 'Luis Carlos Alvarez' if Luis Carlos Alvarez advances against Juan Pablo Varillas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-varilla-alvare-2026-07-08
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