Analytics
Resolved Juan Pablo Varillas on 10 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Juan Pablo Varillas at 62.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 9 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 9 Jul 2026 and the low 37.5% on 10 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 37.5% on 10 Jul 2026. $177.47K traded over the market's life.
89 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 9 Jul 2026 – 10 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 49.5% |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 37.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| robustmst | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 56.48K |
| gugul | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 3K |
| GamblingAddict12345 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 1K |
| dalllasela32 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 530.64 |
| arahbo | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 412 |
| yalahalla2 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 286.04 |
| Cesaritokeri | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 224 |
| TE2137 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 221.26 |
| Athletic-Sender | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 181.82 |
| 0101010101010101010101 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 162.69 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Pablo Varillas and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida in the Bogota, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida. This market will resolve to 'Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida' if Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida advances against Juan Pablo Varillas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-varilla-almeida-2026-07-10
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