
Resolved Mariano Navone on 5 Aug 2026.
$2.79M traded over the market's life.
198 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 6, 5:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 5 Aug 2026, chart shows 56%–68%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sbimbg | Valentin Vacherot | 15K |
| Ss1984 | Valentin Vacherot | 11.7K |
| Marcoli | Valentin Vacherot | 8.28K |
| NoMMS111 | Valentin Vacherot | 5.5K |
| popsgetthemoney | Valentin Vacherot | 4.84K |
| jiiivi655 | Valentin Vacherot | 4.61K |
| opeankdngsuxhxbskx | Valentin Vacherot | 3.35K |
| Kreshoo | Valentin Vacherot | 2.8K |
| EasyMoneyComing | Valentin Vacherot | 2.78K |
| xabidaking | Valentin Vacherot | 1.95K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Mariano Navone in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Valentin Vacherot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-vachero-navone-2026-08-06
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page