Analytics
Resolved Luca Castelnuovo on 10 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Luca Castelnuovo at 31.5%. The Tung-Lin Wu side opened at 66.5% on 9 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 68.5% on 10 Sep 2026 and the low 66.5% on 9 Sep 2026. $91.93K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 11, 12:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Tung-Lin Wu price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 10 Sep 2026, chart shows 62%–74%
| Observed | Tung-Lin Wu price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 66.5% |
| 10 Sep 2026 | 68.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Israel26 | Tung Lin Wu | 7.87K |
| omnibus-076daa | Tung Lin Wu | 4.18K |
| love53forever | Tung Lin Wu | 900 |
| lohon.advanture | Tung Lin Wu | 223.88 |
| petar.sucic | Tung Lin Wu | 166.67 |
| Simple-Pun | Tung Lin Wu | 100 |
| Shiny-Misplacement | Tung Lin Wu | 68.97 |
| aureliano-buendia | Tung Lin Wu | 65.05 |
| blue1778 | Tung Lin Wu | 57.46 |
| SlickRick123 | Tung Lin Wu | 56.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Tung-Lin Wu and Luca Castelnuovo in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tung-Lin Wu' if Tung-Lin Wu advances against Luca Castelnuovo. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Tung-Lin Wu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tunglin-casteln-2026-09-08
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