Analytics
Resolved Daniil Medvedev on 16 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Daniil Medvedev at 84.5%. The Marco Trungelliti side opened at 26% on 15 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2026 to 16 Aug 2026, the highest close was 26% on 15 Aug 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 16 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 15.5% on 16 Aug 2026. $423.61K traded over the market's life.
167 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 17, 5:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Marco Trungelliti price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Aug 2026 – 16 Aug 2026, chart shows 10%–30%
| Observed | Marco Trungelliti price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | 26.0% |
| 16 Aug 2026 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Notable-Carrier | Marco Trungelliti | 190K |
| avo-edge | Marco Trungelliti | 3.13K |
| Gooooooollllllllll | Marco Trungelliti | 2.66K |
| RedPartizan | Marco Trungelliti |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Daniil Medvedev in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-trungel-medvede-2026-08-15
| 2.5K |
| Quiet Falcon 78F8 | Marco Trungelliti | 2.38K |
| UpTheBlues | Marco Trungelliti | 2.2K |
| Jsuehehwywyw6 | Marco Trungelliti | 2.14K |
| Beneficial-Climate | Marco Trungelliti | 2K |
| Murky-Fallingout | Marco Trungelliti | 2K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Marco Trungelliti | 1.81K |
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