Analytics
Resolved Marvin Moeller on 22 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Marvin Moeller at 42%. The Stefano Travaglia side opened at 69% on 20 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2026 to 22 Sep 2026, the highest close was 69% on 20 Sep 2026 and the lowest 53.5% on 21 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 53.5% on 21 Sep 2026. $169K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 23, 3:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Stefano Travaglia price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 20 Sep 2026 – 22 Sep 2026, chart shows 50%–75%
| Observed | Stefano Travaglia price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | 69.0% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | 58.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| vladiva | Stefano Travaglia | 11.93K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Stefano Travaglia | 9.89K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Stefano Travaglia | 7.33K |
| thestingsnake | Stefano Travaglia |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefano Travaglia and Marvin Moeller in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefano Travaglia' if Stefano Travaglia advances against Marvin Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Stefano Travaglia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-travagl-moelle-2026-09-21
| 3.03K |
| Quiet Falcon 78F8 | Stefano Travaglia | 1.32K |
| SportsGuru | Stefano Travaglia | 615.75 |
| andereman | Stefano Travaglia | 538.13 |
| arman1969 | Stefano Travaglia | 400 |
| noosh3 | Stefano Travaglia | 397.57 |
| noosh1 | Stefano Travaglia | 396.25 |
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