Analytics
Resolved Camilo Ugo Carabelli on 14 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 69.5%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 13 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 30.5% on 14 Jul 2026 and the low 28.5% on 13 Jul 2026. $325.31K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 15, 5:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 13 Jul 2026 – 14 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 24%–36%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jul 2026 | 28.5% |
| 14 Jul 2026 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Reliable-Giggle | Marko Topo | 20.18K |
| RichSK | Marko Topo | 5.6K |
| fluxioamorom | Marko Topo | 1.35K |
| seykafu | Marko Topo | 1.3K |
| Numb-Ramie | Marko Topo | 1.3K |
| bordyugaqq | Marko Topo | 757.58 |
| leoludik | Marko Topo | 600 |
| tenidspfmsp | Marko Topo | 317.45 |
| teeturtle | Marko Topo | 228.42 |
| saepul | Marko Topo | 211.5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Topo and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Croatia Open, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marko Topo' if Marko Topo advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Marko Topo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-topo-carabel-2026-07-14
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