Analytics
Resolved Valerio Aboian on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Valerio Aboian at 34%. The Marko Topo side opened at 48% on 30 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 66% on 1 Sep 2026 and the low 48% on 30 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 64.5% on 31 Aug 2026. $115.42K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 3:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Marko Topo price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 30 Aug 2026 – 1 Sep 2026, chart shows 40%–70%
| Observed | Marko Topo price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | 48.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 66.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Marko Topo | 32.85K |
| Numb-Ramie | Marko Topo | 7.77K |
| Substantial-Service | Marko Topo | 4.88K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Marko Topo | 4.55K |
| sentrio | Marko Topo | 3.82K |
| 0x646965676F63 | Marko Topo | 166.73 |
| poshposh | Marko Topo | 150 |
| Endgamepol | Marko Topo | 100.22 |
| freeshore | Marko Topo | 67.66 |
| facai1699995 | Marko Topo | 30 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Topo and Valerio Aboian in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marko Topo' if Marko Topo advances against Valerio Aboian. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Marko Topo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-topo-aboian-2026-08-31
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