Analytics
Resolved Matteo Arnaldi on 8 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Matteo Arnaldi at 67.5%. The Bernard Tomic side opened at 35.5% on 7 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 35.5% on 7 Oct 2026 and the low 32.5% on 8 Oct 2026. $153.91K traded over the market's life.
87 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 7:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Bernard Tomic price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 8 Oct 2026, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Bernard Tomic price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 35.5% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Bernard Tomic | 28.44K |
| BIess | Bernard Tomic | 4.35K |
| omnibus-076daa | Bernard Tomic | 3.29K |
| NM-P | Bernard Tomic | 1.81K |
| AnonymousUsername | Bernard Tomic | 1.75K |
| Lilybaeum | Bernard Tomic | 1.52K |
| ghostorder | Bernard Tomic | 1.15K |
| LuckyLoo | Bernard Tomic | 861.35 |
| Limousin | Bernard Tomic | 687.22 |
| marianogiustiilcontecattivo | Bernard Tomic | 625 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Bernard Tomic and Matteo Arnaldi in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernard Tomic' if Bernard Tomic advances against Matteo Arnaldi. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Bernard Tomic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tomic-arnaldi-2026-10-07
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