Analytics
Resolved Thompson on 28 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Thompson at 52.5%. The Todoran side opened at 73% on 27 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 73% on 27 Jan 2026 and the low 47.5% on 28 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 47.5% on 28 Jan 2026. $13.62K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 29, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Todoran price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 27 Jan 2026 – 28 Jan 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Todoran price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2026 | 73.0% |
| 28 Jan 2026 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Adrenalinss | Todoran | 8.01K |
| Outlandish-Hobbit | Todoran | 3.31K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Todoran | 436 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Todoran | 413 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Todoran | 287 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Todoran | 266 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Todoran | 144 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Todoran | 123 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | Todoran | 25.14 |
| pv34 | Todoran | 20 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Matei Todoran and Kai Thompson in the Australian Open Juniors, Boys, scheduled for January 26 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Todoran' if Matei Todoran advances against Kai Thompson. This market will resolve to 'Thompson' if Kai Thompson advances against Matei Todoran. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://ausopen.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-todoran-thompso-2026-01-27
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