Analytics
Resolved Miguel Tobon on 7 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Miguel Tobon at 37.5%. The Miguel Tobon side opened at 50% on 6 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 6 May 2026 and the low 37.5% on 7 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 37.5% on 7 May 2026. $79.04K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 8, 9:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Miguel Tobon price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 6 May 2026 – 7 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 35%–55%
| Observed | Miguel Tobon price |
|---|---|
| 6 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 May 2026 | 37.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ElasticSoul | Facundo Mena | 8.8K |
| NO.9kami | Facundo Mena | 2.86K |
| greek404 | Facundo Mena | 760 |
| lohon.advanture | Facundo Mena | 540.43 |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Facundo Mena | 497.09 |
| TheRealBolBol | Facundo Mena | 454.55 |
| Lavincey | Facundo Mena | 200 |
| woodog | Facundo Mena | 177.78 |
| GUINESS123 | Facundo Mena | 148.07 |
| Decent-External | Facundo Mena | 43.5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Tobon and Facundo Mena in the Santos, originally scheduled for May 7, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Facundo Mena. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Miguel Tobon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tobon-mena-2026-05-07
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