Analytics
Resolved Thiago Agustin Tirante on 25 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Thiago Agustin Tirante at 0%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 23 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2026 to 25 Apr 2026, the highest close was 100% on 25 Apr 2026 and the lowest 31.5% on 23 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 67 points up, to 100% on 25 Apr 2026. $780.32K traded over the market's life.
117 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 1:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 23 Apr 2026 – 25 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | 31.5% |
| 25 Apr 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Tommy Paul | 99.24K |
| Rare-Dishwasher | Tommy Paul | 30.07K |
| Chicha | Tommy Paul | 4.31K |
| Bold Scout 7F37 | Tommy Paul | 2.85K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Tommy Paul in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tirante-paul-2026-04-24
| DOLLAR-PRINTER | Tommy Paul | 1.86K |
| jackinv1lvl2 | Tommy Paul | 1.41K |
| tradingl | Tommy Paul | 1.4K |
| nottolost | Tommy Paul | 972.94 |
| Coco4 | Tommy Paul | 970.03 |
| Garrythesnail | Tommy Paul | 771 |
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