Analytics
The Thiago Agustin Tirante side is at 57.5%, up 1 point from 56.5% when the market opened on 24 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026, the highest close was 57.5% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 56.5% on 24 Oct 2026.
It is one of 17 markets under “Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino”.
$16.24K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $26.74K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 89 trades, $5.71K bought Thiago Agustin Tirante and $2.77K bought Adrian Mannarino; the largest was a $3.52K buy of Thiago Agustin Tirante at 57.0¢.
The largest Thiago Agustin Tirante position is viper0310 with 10.1K shares; the largest Adrian Mannarino position is PeterSagan with 3.7K. Ten wallets hold 75.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 10:04 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Thiago Agustin Tirante price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 52%–62%
| Observed | Thiago Agustin Tirante price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 56.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 57.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| viper0310 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 10.07K |
| PeterSagan | Adrian Mannarino | 3.72K |
| UpTheBlues | Adrian Mannarino | 2.67K |
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Adrian Mannarino in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tirante-mannari-2026-10-24
5 more markets, none above 43.0%.
| nigiri99 | Adrian Mannarino | 1.24K |
| wapol-E | Adrian Mannarino | 1.1K |
| 38791873984189 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 1.06K |
| Newstart888 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 951.43 |
| Dual-Criticism | Adrian Mannarino | 760 |
| Po1yamory | Adrian Mannarino | 750 |
| ferdinand2 | Adrian Mannarino | 722.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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