Analytics
Resolved Medvedev on 8 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Medvedev at 72.5%. The Tien side opened at 44% on 7 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 44% on 7 Oct 2025 and the low 27.5% on 8 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 27.5% on 8 Oct 2025. $185.17K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 10, 12:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Tien price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 7 Oct 2025 – 8 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 20%–50%
| Observed | Tien price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2025 | 44.0% |
| 8 Oct 2025 | 27.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Drab-Silence | Tien | 2.09K |
| Bigtank3 | Tien | 1.45K |
| Andromeda1 | Tien | 1.15K |
| onethousandtomilion | Tien | 729.76 |
| Abik | Tien | 520.44 |
| RelentlessMist703 | Tien | 150.08 |
| lonelinism | Tien | 120.69 |
| MacAdam | Tien | 120 |
| ciuiss | Tien | 111.44 |
| JuliRancu | Tien | 108.19 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a polymarket on the tennis match between Learner Tien and Daniil Medvedev in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, scheduled for October 7 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Learner Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve in favor of the player(s) who officially advances to the next round. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tien-vs-medvedev-2025-10-08
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