Analytics
Resolved Tien on 26 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Tien at 44%. The Tien side opened at 45% on 24 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 24 Sep 2025 to 26 Sep 2025, the highest close was 47% on 25 Sep 2025 and the lowest 44% on 26 Sep 2025. $18.21K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 27, 4:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Tien price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 24 Sep 2025 – 26 Sep 2025, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Tien price |
|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2025 | 45.0% |
| 26 Sep 2025 | 44.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Noxious-Trachoma | Cerundolo | 500 |
| 15272 | Cerundolo | 444.44 |
| Interestingstatistics | Cerundolo | 178.57 |
| Viktormedvedski | Cerundolo | 114.46 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on the tennis match between Learner Tien and Francisco Cerundolo in the China Open, scheduled for September 24 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Francisco Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Learner Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve in favor of the player(s) who officially advances to the next round. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tien-vs-cerundolo-2025-09-25
| RebornAthena | Cerundolo | 60 |
| Endgamepol | Cerundolo | 36.36 |
| HINF2000 | Cerundolo | 30 |
| Deafening-Possible | Cerundolo | 14 |
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