Analytics
Resolved Learner Tien on 8 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Learner Tien at 61.5%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 7 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 7 Aug 2026 to 8 Aug 2026, the highest close was 38.5% on 8 Aug 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 7 Aug 2026. $421.84K traded over the market's life.
156 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 9, 3:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 7 Aug 2026 – 8 Aug 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 37.5% |
| 8 Aug 2026 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Misty Falcon 710B | Tommy Paul | 23.5K |
| TRCM | Tommy Paul | 9.01K |
| pleasent242 | Tommy Paul | 6.25K |
| itskkoma | Tommy Paul | 5.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Tommy Paul in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Learner Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tien-paul-2026-08-07
| nadirhabbo | Tommy Paul | 5.03K |
| comon119 | Tommy Paul | 5K |
| moneybagyooo | Tommy Paul | 4.42K |
| NiNo999 | Tommy Paul | 4.03K |
| Cosmic Voyager 8792 | Tommy Paul | 3.2K |
| projxtrd | Tommy Paul | 2.88K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
