Analytics
Resolved Tien on 19 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Tien at 69.5%. The Tien side opened at 68.5% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 19 Dec 2025, the highest close was 70.5% on 18 Dec 2025 and the lowest 68.5% on 17 Dec 2025. $118.4K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 21, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Tien price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 19 Dec 2025, chart shows 64%–76%
| Observed | Tien price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 68.5% |
| 19 Dec 2025 | 69.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Pingotito | Kjaer | 11.47K |
| tiancairusi | Kjaer | 4.9K |
| bafuly | Kjaer | 4.7K |
| asfaaklk | Kjaer | 3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Learner Tien and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A, scheduled for December 18 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. This market will resolve to 'Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Learner Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tien-kjaer-2025-12-18
| Amber Oracle 9573 | Kjaer | 869.68 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Kjaer | 649 |
| 15272 | Kjaer | 645.16 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Kjaer | 425 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Kjaer | 309 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Kjaer | 253 |
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