Analytics
Resolved Frances Tiafoe on 28 Feb 2026.
$582.25K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 28 Feb 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| benwyatt | Brandon Nakashima | 9.62K |
| 0x87677gma | Brandon Nakashima | 3.23K |
| Painfulvoid | Brandon Nakashima | 2.91K |
| cy14 | Brandon Nakashima | 2.64K |
| IAmHomelessNow | Brandon Nakashima | 2K |
| Traderbeach | Brandon Nakashima | 1.8K |
| Solar Vector A239 | Brandon Nakashima | 1.4K |
| gjfdk8ef4gty6 | Brandon Nakashima | 582.49 |
| c4c4 | Brandon Nakashima | 500 |
| Maillife | Brandon Nakashima | 343.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Brandon Nakashima in the Mexican Open, scheduled for February 27 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Frances Tiafoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tiafoe-nakashi-2026-02-27
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