Analytics
Resolved Frances Tiafoe on 24 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Frances Tiafoe at 0%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 23 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Mar 2026 to 24 Mar 2026, the highest close was 100% on 24 Mar 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 23 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 59 points up, to 100% on 24 Mar 2026.
109 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 25, 12:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Mar 2026 – 24 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2026 | 40.5% |
| 24 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Negligible-Mutation | Jakub Mensik | 30.92K |
| Warzone | Jakub Mensik | 5.67K |
| Melon91 | Jakub Mensik | 2.49K |
| dinglebutt | Jakub Mensik | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Jakub Mensik in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 23 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Jakub Mensik. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Frances Tiafoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tiafoe-mensik-2026-03-23
| ZZB2 | Jakub Mensik | 1.63K |
| iwanttokms | Jakub Mensik | 1.4K |
| SOLFARMER | Jakub Mensik | 1.25K |
| gogo2026 | Jakub Mensik | 1K |
| slimjoe | Jakub Mensik | 960 |
| Dextrabot1 | Jakub Mensik | 753 |
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