Analytics
Resolved Alexander Bublik on 4 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alexander Bublik at 48.5%. The Frances Tiafoe side opened at 53.5% on 3 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2026 to 4 Jul 2026, the highest close was 53.5% on 3 Jul 2026 and the lowest 51.5% on 4 Jul 2026. $2.01M traded over the market's life.
304 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 9:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Frances Tiafoe price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 4 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Frances Tiafoe price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 53.5% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 51.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Guilty-Receipt | Frances Tiafoe | 89.06K |
| ArturitoFilito | Frances Tiafoe | 33.83K |
| zzc6077 | Frances Tiafoe | 25.76K |
| nuuki | Frances Tiafoe | 19.58K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Alexander Bublik in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Alexander Bublik. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Frances Tiafoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tiafoe-bublik-2026-07-04
| kkookkoo | Frances Tiafoe | 16.12K |
| BaccaratRoulette | Frances Tiafoe | 7.14K |
| cradlle | Frances Tiafoe | 5.9K |
| mortewfenloin | Frances Tiafoe | 5.46K |
| PleaseNoCopy | Frances Tiafoe | 3.92K |
| Heavenly-Color | Frances Tiafoe | 3.39K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
