Analytics
Resolved Frances Tiafoe on 19 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Frances Tiafoe at 62.5%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 18 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 18 Jun 2026 to 19 Jun 2026, the highest close was 43.5% on 18 Jun 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 19 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 37.5% on 19 Jun 2026. $1.03M traded over the market's life.
215 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 20, 9:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 18 Jun 2026 – 19 Jun 2026, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jun 2026 | 43.5% |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 37.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| theflipsterbets | Felix Auger Aliassime | 15.59K |
| sjqdhqsjgd65 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 13.8K |
| din8522 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 8.38K |
| w1n3r | Felix Auger Aliassime |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Halle Open, originally scheduled for June 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime. This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Frances Tiafoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tiafoe-augeral-2026-06-19
| 5K |
| trillionaire8 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 3.42K |
| BlasdeLezo1492 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 2.22K |
| Some-Chaise | Felix Auger Aliassime | 2K |
| Sixty6 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 1.81K |
| Livid-Hospice | Felix Auger Aliassime | 1.59K |
| RebornAthena | Felix Auger Aliassime | 1.03K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
