Analytics
Resolved Pablo Carreno Busta on 10 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Pablo Carreno Busta at 39.5%. The Alejandro Tabilo side opened at 61.5% on 9 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 61.5% on 9 Oct 2026 and the low 60.5% on 10 Oct 2026. $382.44K traded over the market's life.
156 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 11, 10:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Alejandro Tabilo price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 10 Oct 2026, chart shows 56%–66%
| Observed | Alejandro Tabilo price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 61.5% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | 60.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Faithful-Jazz | Alejandro Tabilo | 20.48K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Alejandro Tabilo | 11.23K |
| BIess | Alejandro Tabilo | 9.52K |
| Illiasca | Alejandro Tabilo | 7.97K |
| Reliable-Giggle | Alejandro Tabilo | 4.4K |
| Testy-State | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.42K |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.33K |
| one8tyfive | Alejandro Tabilo | 2.88K |
| bankside | Alejandro Tabilo | 2.39K |
| frugs | Alejandro Tabilo | 2.37K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Alejandro Tabilo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tabilo-busta-2026-10-09
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