Analytics
Resolved Luca Staeheli on 18 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Luca Staeheli at 52.5%. The Luca Staeheli side opened at 63.5% on 16 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 63.5% on 16 Aug 2026 and the low 52.5% on 18 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 52.5% on 18 Aug 2026. $38.42K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 19, 9:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Luca Staeheli price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 16 Aug 2026 – 18 Aug 2026, chart shows 50%–70%
| Observed | Luca Staeheli price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | 63.5% |
| 18 Aug 2026 | 52.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Upright-Mezzanine-Cottage | Andrey Chepelev | 2.58K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Andrey Chepelev | 1.9K |
| DAKJE | Andrey Chepelev | 1.18K |
| venera1234 | Andrey Chepelev | 870 |
| NM-P | Andrey Chepelev | 574.76 |
| UpTheBlues | Andrey Chepelev | 536.95 |
| arahbo | Andrey Chepelev | 515 |
| Mora12 | Andrey Chepelev | 328.6 |
| cancan32 | Andrey Chepelev | 181.51 |
| Kbr | Andrey Chepelev | 129.38 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Staeheli and Andrey Chepelev in the Sion, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Staeheli' if Luca Staeheli advances against Andrey Chepelev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Chepelev' if Andrey Chepelev advances against Luca Staeheli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-staehel-chepele-2026-08-17
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