Analytics
Resolved Hiroki Moriya on 6 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Hiroki Moriya at 30.5%. The Keegan Smith side opened at 71% on 4 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2026 to 6 Oct 2026, the highest close was 71% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 69.5% on 6 Oct 2026. $150.06K traded over the market's life.
64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 6:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Keegan Smith price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Oct 2026 – 6 Oct 2026, chart shows 64%–76%
| Observed | Keegan Smith price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | 71.0% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 69.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 88M | Keegan Smith | 5.1K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Keegan Smith | 1.84K |
| Super-Styling | Keegan Smith | 659.51 |
| GabriiBR | Keegan Smith | 632.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Hiroki Moriya in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Hiroki Moriya. This market will resolve to 'Hiroki Moriya' if Hiroki Moriya advances against Keegan Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-smit-moriya-2026-10-04
| Mother-Teresa | Keegan Smith | 459.96 |
| zoroelnino | Keegan Smith | 388 |
| avotrade | Keegan Smith | 344 |
| Mn2026 | Keegan Smith | 321.51 |
| UNEB3154s4f251 | Keegan Smith | 260.55 |
| ET65 | Keegan Smith | 200 |
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