Analytics
Resolved Keegan Smith on 29 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Keegan Smith at 50.5%. The Keegan Smith side opened at 52.5% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 52.5% on 28 Apr 2026 and the low 50.5% on 29 Apr 2026. $219.31K traded over the market's life.
63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 30, 6:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Keegan Smith price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 28 Apr 2026 – 29 Apr 2026 · axis zoomed to 45%–60%
| Observed | Keegan Smith price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 52.5% |
| 29 Apr 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Smoggy-Horn | Hayato Matsuoka | 4.1K |
| RN1 | Hayato Matsuoka | 1.61K |
| fabauz | Hayato Matsuoka | 1.31K |
| jugy06 | Hayato Matsuoka | 1.18K |
| h.roark | Hayato Matsuoka | 750 |
| nottolost | Hayato Matsuoka | 600 |
| GamblingAddict12345 | Hayato Matsuoka | 408.16 |
| Notradecopy | Hayato Matsuoka | 276.83 |
| Repentant-Publisher | Hayato Matsuoka | 272.01 |
| Reliable-World | Hayato Matsuoka | 230.97 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Hayato Matsuoka in the Jiujiang, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Hayato Matsuoka. This market will resolve to 'Hayato Matsuoka' if Hayato Matsuoka advances against Keegan Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-smit-matsuok-2026-04-28
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