Analytics
Resolved Jannik Sinner on 3 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Jannik Sinner at 17.5%. Yes opened at 83.5% on 2 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 2 May 2026 to 3 May 2026, the highest close was 83.5% on 2 May 2026 and the lowest 82.5% on 3 May 2026. $968.89K traded over the market's life.
173 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 6:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 2 May 2026 – 3 May 2026, chart shows 78%–88%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | 83.5% |
| 3 May 2026 | 82.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sunflowaa | Alexander Zverev | 143K |
| Amber Lynx 67D8 | Alexander Zverev | 53.92K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Alexander Zverev | 52.28K |
| ic4cream | Alexander Zverev |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Alexander Zverev. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Jannik Sinner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-sinner-zverev-2026-05-03
| 38.99K |
| DCABC | Alexander Zverev | 35K |
| WynnWaldorf | Alexander Zverev | 26.03K |
| neutralwave23 | Alexander Zverev | 16.1K |
| jberlop | Alexander Zverev | 13.63K |
| jwpapi9111 | Alexander Zverev | 11.28K |
| Ample-Trim | Alexander Zverev | 7.4K |
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