Analytics
Resolved Sinner on 10 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Sinner at 87.5%. The Sinner side opened at 73.5% on 9 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 87.5% on 10 Nov 2025 and the low 73.5% on 9 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 87.5% on 10 Nov 2025. $659.36K traded over the market's life.
112 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 12, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Sinner price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Nov 2025 – 10 Nov 2025, chart shows 70%–95%
| Observed | Sinner price |
|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | 73.5% |
| 10 Nov 2025 | 87.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PolyBlaster | Auger Aliassime | 20K |
| Dirty-Selfcontrol | Auger Aliassime | 16.25K |
| Whimsical-Whorl | Auger Aliassime | 9.23K |
| SolteronBB | Auger Aliassime | 4.75K |
| W1nkey | Auger Aliassime | 2.45K |
| pikis | Auger Aliassime | 1.96K |
| rovnen | Auger Aliassime | 1.95K |
| Rewarding-Booking | Auger Aliassime | 1.73K |
| digicooking | Auger Aliassime | 1.55K |
| soros13 | Auger Aliassime | 1.4K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group, scheduled for November 10 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime. This market will resolve to 'Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Jannik Sinner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-sinner-augeral-2025-11-10
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