Analytics
Resolved Ivashka on 17 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Ivashka at 61%. The Shin side opened at 51% on 15 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 15 Feb 2026 to 17 Feb 2026, the highest close was 51% on 15 Feb 2026 and the lowest 39% on 17 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 45% on 16 Feb 2026. $13.2K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 18, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Shin price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 15 Feb 2026 – 17 Feb 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Shin price |
|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 17 Feb 2026 | 39.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| illraise7 | Shin | 1.08K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Shin | 365 |
| TungTungTungSAHUR | Shin | 135.14 |
| Deafening-Possible | Shin | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between San-Hui Shin and Ilya Ivashka in the New Delhi, scheduled for February 15 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shin' if San-Hui Shin advances against Ilya Ivashka. This market will resolve to 'Ivashka' if Ilya Ivashka advances against San-Hui Shin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-shin-ivashka-2026-02-15
| Misty Horizon F967 | Shin | 30 |
| 0xGedis | Shin | 26.32 |
| kingkr15 | Shin | 20.83 |
| Solar Pulse 5EBB | Shin | 12.82 |
| TelegramTeleblog | Shin | 11.41 |
| mirikmagacool | Shin | 7.69 |
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