Analytics
Resolved Sho Shimabukuro on 3 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Sho Shimabukuro at 28%. Yes opened at 50% on 31 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 31 May 2026 to 3 Jun 2026, the highest close was 72% on 3 Jun 2026 and the lowest 50% on 31 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 72% on 3 Jun 2026. $112.73K traded over the market's life.
76 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 4, 5:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 31 May 2026 – 3 Jun 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 3 Jun 2026 | 72.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| igot50k | Shintaro Mochizuki | 378.8 |
| Amber Oracle 9573 | Shintaro Mochizuki | 300 |
| Notradecopy | Shintaro Mochizuki | 211.5 |
| Unlucky6969 | Shintaro Mochizuki |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Birmingham, originally scheduled for June 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Sho Shimabukuro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-shimabu-mochizu-2026-06-01
| 200 |
| akosialex703 | Shintaro Mochizuki | 200 |
| slimjoe | Shintaro Mochizuki | 194 |
| tenisefgewg | Shintaro Mochizuki | 192.66 |
| Coral Signal 1BD4 | Shintaro Mochizuki | 143 |
| PleaseNoCopy | Shintaro Mochizuki | 121.39 |
| sporteo | Shintaro Mochizuki | 108.8 |
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