Analytics
Resolved Miomir Kecmanovic on 7 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Miomir Kecmanovic at 68.5%. The Sho Shimabukuro side opened at 37.5% on 6 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2026 to 7 Oct 2026, the highest close was 37.5% on 6 Oct 2026 and the lowest 31.5% on 7 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 31.5% on 7 Oct 2026. $100.86K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 8, 5:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Sho Shimabukuro price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 7 Oct 2026, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Sho Shimabukuro price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 37.5% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 31.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Amber Vector 43C4 | Sho Shimabukuro | 3.5K |
| Crimson Comet 427D | Sho Shimabukuro | 1.02K |
| Po1yamory | Sho Shimabukuro | 645.01 |
| clownly | Sho Shimabukuro |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Miomir Kecmanovic in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Miomir Kecmanovic. This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Sho Shimabukuro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-shimabu-kecmano-2026-10-06
| 600 |
| AnonymousUsername | Sho Shimabukuro | 556.95 |
| Lilybaeum | Sho Shimabukuro | 416.11 |
| Mother-Teresa | Sho Shimabukuro | 381.25 |
| ShoveIsAllYouNeed | Sho Shimabukuro | 370.37 |
| cortang | Sho Shimabukuro | 255.5 |
| sunny0158 | Sho Shimabukuro | 200 |
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