Analytics
Resolved Hugo Gaston on 24 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Hugo Gaston at 54.5%. The Sho Shimabukuro side opened at 51% on 22 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 22 Sep 2026 to 24 Sep 2026, the highest close was 51% on 22 Sep 2026 and the lowest 45.5% on 24 Sep 2026. $183.35K traded over the market's life.
70 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 25, 7:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Sho Shimabukuro price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 22 Sep 2026 – 24 Sep 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Sho Shimabukuro price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2026 | 51.0% |
| 24 Sep 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fitting-Pickle | Sho Shimabukuro | 2.42K |
| jyben13 | Sho Shimabukuro | 1.7K |
| Thewinner27 | Sho Shimabukuro | 1.24K |
| LuckyLoo | Sho Shimabukuro | 1.2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Hugo Gaston in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Hugo Gaston. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Sho Shimabukuro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-shimabu-gaston-2026-09-22
| AnonymousUsername | Sho Shimabukuro | 1.11K |
| Wiry-Legislation | Sho Shimabukuro | 1K |
| Crimson Falcon 5AF0 | Sho Shimabukuro | 1K |
| Damp-Psychologist | Sho Shimabukuro | 779.57 |
| clownly | Sho Shimabukuro | 599.99 |
| Vigilant-Environment | Sho Shimabukuro | 520 |
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