
Resolved Shelton on 26 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Shelton at 41.5%. Yes opened at 60.5% on 25 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 60.5% on 25 Jan 2026 and the low 58.5% on 26 Jan 2026. $1.73M traded over the market's life.
140 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 27, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 25 Jan 2026 – 26 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 54%–66%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | 60.5% |
| 26 Jan 2026 | 58.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hulalawei | Ruud | 225.98K |
| one8tyfive | Ruud | 30.22K |
| knedloveprovelo | Ruud | 29.67K |
| Middler0x | Ruud | 21.99K |
| c4c4 | Ruud | 18.07K |
| Painfulvoid | Ruud | 15.43K |
| Eastbird0 | Ruud | 13.86K |
| Bienville | Ruud | 12K |
| winner122 | Ruud | 6.8K |
| Garf14 | Ruud | 4K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Casper Ruud in the Australian Open ATP, scheduled for January 25 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Casper Ruud. This market will resolve to 'Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Ben Shelton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-shelton-ruud-2026-01-26
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