Analytics
Resolved Baez on 16 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Baez at 100%. Yes opened at 77% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2026 to 16 Jan 2026, the highest close was 77% on 15 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 77 points down, to 0.1% on 16 Jan 2026. $515.37K traded over the market's life.
162 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 17, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Jan 2026 – 16 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 77.0% |
| 16 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Shelton | 11.95K |
| Basnee1 | Shelton | 4.08K |
| MattJackson | Shelton | 3.87K |
| Basquetipster | Shelton | 3.7K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Sebastian Baez in the ASB Classic, scheduled for January 14 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Ben Shelton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-shelton-baez-2026-01-14
| DVROAR | Shelton | 1.98K |
| Luccoss | Shelton | 1.85K |
| Olasheriff1 | Shelton | 1.68K |
| Amber Oracle 9573 | Shelton | 1.65K |
| Millmountdsdsdcsvsfvsfvain | Shelton | 1.5K |
| Used-Efficiency | Shelton | 1.38K |
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