Analytics
Resolved Denis Shapovalov on 3 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Denis Shapovalov at 56.5%. The Denis Shapovalov side opened at 57.5% on 2 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 57.5% on 2 Oct 2026 and the low 56.5% on 3 Oct 2026. $580.37K traded over the market's life.
205 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 4:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Denis Shapovalov price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 3 Oct 2026, chart shows 52%–62%
| Observed | Denis Shapovalov price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 57.5% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | 56.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kkookkoo | Alejandro Tabilo | 23.34K |
| gagarin59 | Alejandro Tabilo | 11K |
| ghostorder | Alejandro Tabilo | 4.25K |
| Valuable-Span-Casket | Alejandro Tabilo | 3.79K |
| AnonymousUsername | Alejandro Tabilo | 2.79K |
| pleasent242 | Alejandro Tabilo | 2.5K |
| Lilybaeum | Alejandro Tabilo | 2.18K |
| Quiet Falcon 78F8 | Alejandro Tabilo | 2.13K |
| Golden Sphinx BDB3 | Alejandro Tabilo | 2.11K |
| Emerald Signal 3CA3 | Alejandro Tabilo | 1.97K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Tabilo in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Alejandro Tabilo. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Denis Shapovalov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-shapova-tabilo-2026-10-02
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