Analytics
Resolved Denis Shapovalov on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Denis Shapovalov at 73.5%. The Denis Shapovalov side opened at 77.5% on 29 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 29 Sep 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 77.5% on 29 Sep 2026 and the lowest 73.5% on 1 Oct 2026. $36.83K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 9:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Denis Shapovalov price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 29 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 70%–82%
| Observed | Denis Shapovalov price |
|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | 77.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 73.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Sho Shimabukuro | 1.17K |
| CandleHammerDrums | Sho Shimabukuro | 1.13K |
| xSanctuary | Sho Shimabukuro | 600 |
| value77 | Sho Shimabukuro | 357.75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Sho Shimabukuro in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Sho Shimabukuro. This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Denis Shapovalov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-shapova-shimabu-2026-09-29
| Gaohead | Sho Shimabukuro | 208.33 |
| mauriciorpn | Sho Shimabukuro | 172.41 |
| hii7 | Sho Shimabukuro | 119.25 |
| Misty Meteor E6C5 | Sho Shimabukuro | 104 |
| capitalpiston2 | Sho Shimabukuro | 47.4 |
| superlxj | Sho Shimabukuro | 41 |
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