Analytics
Resolved Cilic on 22 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Cilic at 42.5%. The Shapovalov side opened at 55.5% on 21 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 57.5% on 22 Jan 2026 and the low 55.5% on 21 Jan 2026. $226.82K traded over the market's life.
99 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Shapovalov price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 21 Jan 2026 – 22 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 50%–62%
| Observed | Shapovalov price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | 55.5% |
| 22 Jan 2026 | 57.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Donghui | Shapovalov | 40K |
| Anointed-Connect | Shapovalov | 11.86K |
| probablynothing | Shapovalov | 8.7K |
| username23 | Shapovalov | 1.86K |
| RebornAthena | Shapovalov | 1.38K |
| alphastrat | Shapovalov | 1.25K |
| hiyabyeya | Shapovalov | 989.11 |
| Flof | Shapovalov | 403.1 |
| ArbitrageFund | Shapovalov | 374 |
| ichiho | Shapovalov | 350.88 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Marin Cilic in the Australian Open ATP, scheduled for January 21 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Denis Shapovalov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://ausopen.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-shapova-cilic-2026-01-22
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