Analytics
Resolved Pablo Carreno Busta on 29 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Pablo Carreno Busta at 27.5%. Yes opened at 73.5% on 28 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 73.5% on 28 Jun 2026 and the low 72.5% on 29 Jun 2026. $365.25K traded over the market's life.
116 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 12:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 28 Jun 2026 – 29 Jun 2026, chart shows 68%–78%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | 73.5% |
| 29 Jun 2026 | 72.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kch-Temp | Denis Shapovalov | 15K |
| miracle11253dsfd | Denis Shapovalov | 8.06K |
| DCAETH | Denis Shapovalov | 2.3K |
| webtrex | Denis Shapovalov | 2.11K |
| riverskew | Denis Shapovalov | 1.72K |
| Bubbly-Name | Denis Shapovalov | 1K |
| Faithful-Jazz | Denis Shapovalov | 957.34 |
| Xerath | Denis Shapovalov | 719.99 |
| 20faj2 | Denis Shapovalov | 609.47 |
| RebornAthena | Denis Shapovalov | 588.24 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Denis Shapovalov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-shapova-busta-2026-06-29
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